Juvenes / Dogana vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 2
COS
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
TPE
1 - 1
JUV
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
21%
21%
58%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
JUV
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 3
FAE
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 4
MUR
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 3
MUR
24%
23%
53%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
TPE
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 3
VIR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |