Juvenes / Dogana vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
4 - 1
JUV
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 4
COS
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TFI
5 - 1
JUV
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 2
SMA
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
5 - 0
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
VIR
13%
23%
64%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 1
TFI
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FAE
4 - 1
FOL
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 2
FOL
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |