Juvenes / Dogana vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
JUV
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 2
FIO
20%
23%
56%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 0
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
DOM
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SGI
3 - 3
FOL
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
FOL
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
TPE
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +2 |