Juvenes / Dogana vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 4
FIO
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 2
JUV
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 1
PEN
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 2
MUR
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 2
COS
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 5
MUR
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TPE
3 - 1
FOL
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 1
FOL
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 0
LIB
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |