Juvenes / Dogana vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
5 - 3
JUV
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
CAI
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
TPE
0 - 1
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 2
FIO
18%
23%
60%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 4
FIO
11%
17%
72%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
81%
14%
6%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |