Juvenes / Dogana vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 2
FIO
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 2
BIF
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
BIF
9 - 0
JUV
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
FIO
59%
24%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
TPE
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |