Juvenes / Dogana vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 3
FIO
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 3
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
COS
1 - 0
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
JUV
4 - 1
CAI
71%
20%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FAE
3 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 3
FIO
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
FAE
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
4 - 1
FIO
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 1
PEN
22%
23%
56%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
COS
2 - 1
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |