Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
TPE
2 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 0
SGI
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
COS
0 - 2
JUV
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 0
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 5
TPE
13%
18%
69%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 3
FAE
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FAE
3 - 2
CAI
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 4
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 1
FAE
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |