Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 1
JUV
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 2
COS
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 4
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 1
JUV
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TPE
1 - 1
FAE
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 0
FIO
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 0
FAE
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
DOM
0 - 1
FAE
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FAE
2 - 1
CAI
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |