Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 1
SGI
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 2
TPE
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 2
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 1
LIB
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 2
SGI
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
FAE
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FAE
0 - 0
MUR
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 1
FAE
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FAE
1 - 2
SGI
73%
18%
10%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FAE
4 - 3
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |