Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 2
VIR
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIO
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
JUV
3 - 1
FOL
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
COS
0 - 2
JUV
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
2 - 2
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TPE
0 - 3
FAE
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
0 - 0
FAE
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
2 - 2
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
2 - 2
PEN
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |