Juvenes / Dogana vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
DOM
1 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DOM
2 - 1
JUV
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 4
COS
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COS
0 - 0
FOL
14%
23%
63%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
4 - 1
COS
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COS
0 - 2
CAI
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |