Jura Sud vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
5º
42
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jura Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JUR
3 - 1
VAU
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CRF
1 - 1
JUR
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
JUR
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
JUR
3 - 0
OLY
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 2
JUR
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
THI
2 - 0
FRE
9%
20%
71%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 1
AUB
60%
24%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 0
SÈT
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 0
THO
66%
20%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CRF
1 - 0
FRE
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |