Jura Dolois vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
4º
10
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 46 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 39 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 31 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 30 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 29 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 91.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jura Dolois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 1
JUR
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
JUR
0 - 1
PON
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
THA
1 - 3
JUR
52%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
JUR
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
JUR
2 - 1
COL
21%
24%
56%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
OBE
0 - 0
RAO
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
RAO
0 - 4
COL
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RAO
0 - 1
BEL
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RAO
1 - 1
SAR
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 3
PON
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |