Jura Dolois vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
5º
24
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 38.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jura Dolois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
JUR
3 - 0
BFC
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
RVA
1 - 0
JUR
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 2
JUR
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
JUR
0 - 1
SOC
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
JUR
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
USN
0 - 3
COL
12%
16%
72%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
SAR
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 3
COL
23%
24%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |