Jura Dolois vs Besancon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
4º
17
3º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 46 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 39 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 31 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 30 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 29 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jura Dolois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
RVA
1 - 0
JUR
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 2
JUR
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
JUR
0 - 1
SOC
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
JUR
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TFC
0 - 3
JUR
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Besancon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 2
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 4
BFC
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 1
SAR
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 3
BFC
36%
23%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
PON
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |