Junior vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HUI
1 - 3
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
4 - 2
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 3
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
3 - 0
UCO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 1
JUN
45%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
CSD
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
BOL
68%
18%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 2
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ULC
1 - 0
UNI
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |