Junior vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
50%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1984 |
JUN
1 - 2
FLA
2%
22%
76%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
AME
2 - 0
JUN
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
RIV
3 - 0
JUN
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
CEN
5 - 0
JUN
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1981 |
CAL
4 - 1
JUN
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1984 |
FOR
1 - 4
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
SAN
2 - 3
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
SAN
2 - 0
CRB
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
CRB
0 - 0
SAN
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |