Copa Colombia Final
Global 2-1
Junior vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HUI
2 - 2
JUN
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
JUN
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 0
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JUN
0 - 4
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 1
JUN
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SFE
1 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
LQE
1 - 1
SFE
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SFE
1 - 1
ENV
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
SFE
1 - 1
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
IND
0 - 1
SFE
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |