Junior vs San José Oruro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUN
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
SAN
2 - 0
JUN
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
AME
2 - 0
JUN
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1996 |
JUN
5 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
JUN
1 - 0
AME
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
San José Oruro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
SAN
2 - 0
JUN
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
GUA
4 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1996 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
UCO
4 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |