Copa Colombia Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Junior vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 1
ONC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUN
52%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
JUN
33%
27%
41%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
JUN
4 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
5%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PAS
0 - 1
RSC
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
RSC
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
PAS
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 0
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 1
UNI
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |