Junior vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
JUN
24%
24%
53%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 1
AME
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
JUN
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
EQU
3 - 0
JUN
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 1
OPE
68%
18%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
20%
25%
56%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAL
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
CAR
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
RSC
72%
17%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |