Junior vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
4%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
JUN
13%
23%
65%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 2
MIL
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
JUN
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 2
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
UNI
62%
19%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 0
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |