Junior vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 0
RSC
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 1
ONC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUN
52%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
JUN
33%
27%
41%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
JUN
4 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
5%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
JUN
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
UNI
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
UNI
62%
19%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |