Junior vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SAB
1 - 1
JUN
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
JUN
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 0
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 0
PAS
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUN
35%
28%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
AME
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAB
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
EQU
0 - 0
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
PER
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |