Junior vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
JUN
1 - 2
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
JUN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
ATP
1 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
JUN
4 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
IND
28%
27%
46%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAT
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
LEO
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
EQU
4 - 0
PAT
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 0
ONC
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |