Apertura Playoffs Final
Global 2-5
Junior vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 1
JUN
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 2
JUN
44%
25%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 0
ENV
69%
18%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 0
CUC
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 0
SAB
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 1
JUN
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 3
ONC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 3
EQU
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
ONC
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |