Junior vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
JUN
2 - 0
PER
69%
19%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
JUN
3 - 1
QUI
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
OLM
3 - 1
JUN
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 1
JUN
32%
29%
40%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 0
JUN
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 3
RIV
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
NAC
3 - 2
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
REN
1 - 5
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |