Junior vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
JUN
11%
23%
66%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 2
CAL
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ENV
2 - 2
JUN
23%
27%
50%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
JUN
2 - 0
ALI
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
JUN
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
3 - 1
PAS
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
MIL
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
3 - 2
PER
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
MIL
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
4 - 3
ONC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |