Junior vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 1
JUN
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
JUN
3 - 0
PER
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
AME
2 - 0
JUN
50%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
JUN
1 - 1
AME
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
PER
3 - 2
JUN
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MIL
2 - 1
ENV
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BUC
1 - 1
MIL
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MIL
0 - 0
ONC
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 0
HUI
56%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |