Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 4-4
Junior vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
JUN
3 - 2
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
SFE
0 - 0
JUN
36%
27%
36%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 2
JUN
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
RIV
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
LQE
1 - 3
LIB
27%
25%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
LIB
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
LIB
38%
25%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 6
LIB
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |