Junior vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 0
JUN
15%
27%
58%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 1
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 2
JAG
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
JUN
3 - 0
ONC
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 0
JAG
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 0
HUI
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 2
JAG
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 1
TFC
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 1
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -2 |