Junior vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
JUN
3 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
BLO
0 - 2
JUN
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 1
LAR
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 1
AGU
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
COR
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ENV
2 - 1
JAG
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 0
JAG
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 1
MIL
19%
27%
54%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
JAG
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |