Clausura Playoffs Fase final Final
Global 4-4
Junior vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
JUN
4 - 2
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 2
JUN
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 1
JUN
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
JUN
3 - 1
AGU
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
JUN
3 - 0
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
AME
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 5
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
IND
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |