Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Junior vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 2
JUN
29%
30%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
BOC
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 0
ALI
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
ALI
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
AME
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ENV
2 - 0
IND
28%
27%
44%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
AME
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
PAS
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BUC
2 - 4
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |