Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Junior vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1994 |
IND
0 - 2
JUN
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
COL
2 - 2
JUN
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
JUN
1 - 1
COL
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
CCP
1 - 0
JUN
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
OLI
1 - 0
JUN
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1994 |
IND
0 - 2
JUN
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
IND
2 - 0
UNI
63%
20%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
UNI
2 - 1
IND
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1994 |
CCP
0 - 0
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
OLI
0 - 2
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |