Junior vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 2
JUN
15%
24%
61%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
JUN
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 2
JUN
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 0
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
JUN
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GRE
5 - 0
YPI
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
GRE
3 - 0
OPE
69%
18%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRE
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
SLU
0 - 1
GRE
8%
17%
76%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
CAX
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |