Junior vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
JUN
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PER
1 - 2
JUN
21%
28%
51%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 1
JUN
19%
27%
54%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
JUN
4 - 0
QUI
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
EQU
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
EQU
2 - 1
SFE
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
EQU
0 - 1
LIB
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
EQU
0 - 2
AGU
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
EQU
0 - 2
ENV
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |