Junior vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 2
QUI
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 2
JUN
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 0
JUN
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
JUN
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 3
AME
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 1
CUC
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
EQU
2 - 2
ENV
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
ENV
0 - 0
PER
40%
29%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
IND
4 - 2
ENV
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |