Junior vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BUC
1 - 0
JUN
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
JUN
2 - 1
ONC
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
EQU
5 - 0
JUN
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
JUN
0 - 0
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BUC
2 - 1
JUN
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ENV
2 - 1
CUC
34%
29%
38%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PER
0 - 2
ENV
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 2
ENV
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
ENV
2 - 1
ACA
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ENV
1 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |