Junior vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
JUN
3 - 1
EQU
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
EQU
1 - 0
JUN
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
JUN
3 - 1
IND
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 0
ENV
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
PER
4 - 1
TFC
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
PER
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
HUI
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
PER
1 - 3
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 5
PER
22%
25%
54%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |