Junior vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
JUN
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
JUN
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
JUN
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
JUN
30%
27%
42%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 1
QUI
71%
18%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
CAL
12%
21%
67%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAL
29%
26%
44%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
ONC
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 2
HUI
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |