Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-2
Junior vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 2
JUN
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 2
JUN
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
JUN
0 - 2
UNI
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
JUN
3 - 1
CAL
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
AGU
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
HUI
1 - 3
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
CUC
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |