Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs Last 16
Global 2-1
Junior vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
JUN
3 - 1
EQU
52%
27%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 0
NAC
39%
29%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
ONC
1 - 0
JUN
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
JUN
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
JUN
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
COL
3 - 1
GOD
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
IND
3 - 0
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SLO
2 - 2
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
COL
0 - 0
CAU
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ATT
2 - 1
COL
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |