Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-3
Junior vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
JUN
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 2
ALI
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
JUN
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 1
CHI
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
COQ
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
JUN
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UCH
0 - 0
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
OHI
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |