Junior vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
JUN
1 - 0
CAL
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JUN
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUN
55%
21%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1978 |
CAL
0 - 0
JUN
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
JUN
1 - 0
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1981 |
RAC
0 - 0
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
RIV
2 - 2
CEN
70%
18%
11%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
FER
1 - 2
RIV
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
CEN
0 - 1
RIV
45%
24%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
RIV
4 - 0
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |