Junior vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 2
JUN
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 1
JUN
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 1
PER
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 1
GRE
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 2
JUN
15%
24%
61%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 0
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEN
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
BAR
74%
17%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
TFC
37%
29%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |