Junior vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 0
OPE
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 4
JAG
67%
20%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
SFE
0 - 1
JUN
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
JUN
17%
26%
57%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUN
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
EQU
1 - 0
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 2
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
PER
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
ONC
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |