Junior vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 1
MEL
54%
24%
21%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CUC
2 - 1
JUN
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
JUN
1 - 1
ALI
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
JUN
1 - 0
SLO
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
SFE
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
ENV
4 - 0
NAC
21%
29%
50%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
NAC
20%
28%
52%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |