Junior vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 1
JUN
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SFE
3 - 0
JUN
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
JUN
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 0
PAS
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 1
IND
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
JAG
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
6 - 1
CHI
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
COR
0 - 0
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
CAL
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |